@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@
Bosnia Update -- 13 September 95
* * *
The timing was eerie of "cj#259> Editorial: Bosnian Prospects". It seems
that many of the predictions came true within a just few days or hours of
its publication.
The primary thesis of the editorial was that the U.S./German/Nato operation
in the Balkans was being carried out as an upgraded version of the Desert
Storm campaign. Several parallels were noted, and the predictions were
simply exptrapolations based on the earlier precedent.
What we've seen subsequently are even closer parallels to Desert Storm, so
that the thesis, I belive, is no longer in doubt. At the end, you will
find several relevant excerpts from recent newspaper accounts. (Note also
the "Germany Alert" piece <cj#262>, which sheds light on Croatia's retaking
of Krajina, and the Jewish Frontier excerpt <cj#263>, which goes into the
background of the region.)
Nato has succeeded in gaining a free hand from the U.N., and it has
immediately escalated the conflict to general attacks throughout Croatia.
No effort is being made to destroy the heavy guns around Sarajevo, but
instead a terror campaign is being carried out against the Bosnian Serbs
generally. This is just as in Desert Storm, where no attempt was made
(until the very end) to oust Iraq from Kuwait.
Contrary to most media reports, which carry bombing of anti-aircraft sites
as the only actions in the conflict, there is in fact a general offensive
against Bosnian Serbs on several fronts. The Croatian and Bosnian armies
are both on the offensive.
>>From the Bosnian Serb -- and the Russian -- perspective, a general
offensive against the Serbs began with Croatia's blitzkrieg invasion of
Krajina, and is now being pressed forward with the assistance of Nato, with
the Luftwaffe in reserve, and with the U.S. contributing high-tech
weaponry. These are hardly the circumstances in which the Serbs would feel
motivated to remove their threat to Sarajevo. They fear, and rightly so,
that Croatia would use Sarajevo as a base from which to expand its
offensive.
* * *
There are important differences between the Bosnian and Gulf operations
that should be noted. Recall that Grenada was the first experiment in
modern blitzkrieg, Panama introduced a larger scale of operation, and the
Gulf introduced the tactic of internationalization. What's new with Bosnia
is the fact that the "target" has allies. Grenada, Panama, and Iraq each
had no allies -- they were lone ducks which could be picked off without
external entanglements.
But the Bosnian Serbs are very closely linked to Serbia (which in turn is
closely allied with Russia), and have historically relevant connections
with Macedonia, Bulgaria, Greece, and the Ukraine. Russia is beginning
relief flights to Belgrade, so that Russia will soon be actively operating
in the conflict. Potentially allied with Bosnia and Croatia are Germany,
Albania, Turkey, Iran, and Jordan.
The more the conflict escalates, the more flagrant the attacks on the
Serbs, and the more the media continues to mis-report events, the greater
will become the frustration and fear experienced by the Serbs' natural
allies.
Already Yeltsin has identified the operation as a "testing ground" for how
Nato plans to rule Europe. He didn't use the phrase "New World Order", but
that's what he's talking about. With an understanding of the precedent
being set, and a visceral connection with the Serbs, these allies will feel
increasingly obliged to lend a hand.
* * *
What then, is the NWO game plan? This operation was entered into with all
guns blazing, and full knowledge of the line-up of potential allies for the
Serbs. Will the conflict be skillfully limited to the territory of Bosnia?
Are there contingency plans for escalation beyond those borders?
There must be such contingency plans, otherwise Serbia could throw the
whole operation into disarray simply by actively joining the conflict -- an
eventuality that can't be dismissed out of hand. The architects of Desert
Storm, who have been closely advising the Croatians and Bosnians, certainly
have the various options modelled on their computers, and have played out
all the scenarios.
If Serbia were to join the fray, the next level of escalation seems
obvious. The Croatian and Bosnian armies would be fully mobilized, and
would be supplied by Nato. This would be easily justifiable by the media,
based on the threat posed to stability by "Serbia's reckless escalation".
You'd soon have a full scale war carried out primarily in the territory of
Bosnia, involving all these forces.
But it would be a grossly unbalanced conflict, with air support, high-tech
intelligence, and cruise missles available to only one of the sides. The
NWO is well-prepared for that first increment of escalation.
And for any other conceivable escalation, the U.S./German/Nato alliance can
incrementally increase their participation, including German ground forces,
American air power (Desert Storm style), and nuclear weapons, especially if
Russia joins in. In the case increased ground forces are required, Turkey
would be a likely candidate to contribute "expendable" manpower, Iran
another.
>>From a military point of view, the Nato Alliance can play at any level, up
to and including a regional war involving Russia, Iran, Turkey, and
everyone else we've mentioned. At each stage, there'd be the possibility
of stabilization, or of further escalation.
The game plan seems to be to get the Muslims to fight the Slavs, with Nato
and the U.S. acting as gods -- determining the outcome of battles -- from
the sky.
>>From the Russian perspective, they are facing an "appeasement" scenario.
We all learned from the experience with Hitler that once you start
appeasing fascist aggressors, there's no stopping them. Are Russia and
Serbia supposed to abandon the Bosnian Serbs in order to achieve "peace in
our time"? Are the fully aroused Bosnian and Croatian fascist forces
likely to avoid further provocations? Would Russia sacrifice Serbia?
Would Serbia be the turning point, as Poland was in WWII?
At the end of WWII, a frequent German question to Americans was "Why don't
you turn us around, and help us defeat the Russians?" After 50 years, have
the Germans have finally gotten an affirmative response?
The situation in the Balkans appears to be unstable, and capable of
escalating rapidly. There are close parallels with conditions preceding
the outbreak of WWI. The recent actions of Nato are not designed to
increase the level of stability.
* * *
With the Military Branch of the NWO in full battle gear, what is the
Propaganda Branch up to? It's been on the job right along, focusing
attention on Serbian atrocities, ignoring attacks and atrocities by the
other side, etc. But with the Krajina invasion, and the cruise-missle
escalation, the propaganda operation has been tightened down. "The Truth"
is now announced daily by American "mediator" Richard Holbrooke.
Independent corroboration of events is impractical, and Serbian and Russian
pronouncements are "obviously" non-objective.
As escalation occurs, given the Gulf precedent, we can expect less and less
information about actual operations, increasing use of staged sound bites
and selected military footage, and extensive demonization material against
the enemy of the day. Just as in the Gulf, we can expect Hobrooke and
others to lie about the scale and targets of the bombing, portraying
indiscriminate puntive strikes as "precision" actions against military
targets. Hobrooke's job is to provide propaganda cover for the operation,
not to inform the public.
@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@
Here are some brief excerpts from recent newspapers:
---
THE AMERICAN REPORTER, 10 August
CROATIA NOT "CLEANSING"
Meanwhile, Peter Galbraith, the influential U.S. ambassador to
Croatia, rejected British and Serbian charges that Croatia is guilty
of "ethnic cleansing."
He told the BBC on Wednesday that "ethnic cleansing is a practice
supported by Belgrade and carried out by Bosnian and Croatian Serbs,
forcefully expelling local inhabitants and using terror tactics." He
added that the Croatian military success could prove to be a positive
step in resolving the conflict through negotiations...
---
The Guardian Weekly, 13 August
REFUGEES TRAPPED AS KRAJINA FALLS
...UN relief officials said up to 200,000 Serbs clogged the roads
into northern Bosnia
...Zagreb is not worried about international isolation and
condemnation.
"The diplomats we're in contact with are impressed by the rapidity
and efficiency of our operation"...
---
The Guardian, 29 August
MARKET CARNAGE PUTS UN ON SPOT
37 die in attack on Sarajevo 'safe area'...
---
The European, 6 September
GERMANY EDGES TOWARDS ACTION
German political and public opinion is swinging in favour of a
more forceful military approach to stop the killing in Bosnia,
despite Bonn's reluctance to become embroiled in full-scale
ground troop deployment...
MILOSEVIC IS CORNERED (Serbia)
...In Belgrde there is widespread and defiant belief that the Serbs
have been unjustly punished and that the massacre of civilians on
28 August in Sarajevo was staged by Bosnian Moslems to provke the
subsequent armed intervention.
---
The (London) Times, 8 September
YELTSIN WARNS NATO OF EUROPEAN SPLIT IF BOMBING GOES ON
...Yeltsin said that Nato had no United Nations mandate to carry
out prolonged attacks against the Serbs... unless Nato's
intervention was halted, the fighting could trigger "a century-long
war which will engulf other countries".
..."How is it," he asked, "that when the Muslims attack no sanctions
are applied against them? The same thing happens when the Croats
are on the offensive".
---
The Guardian, 9 September
SERBS DROP KEY WAR AIM
Serb nationalist leaders accepted for the first time that [Bosnia]
would continue to exist within its pre-war borders.
...The agreement was hailed by Richard Holbrooke, the United States
mediator, who dominates the renewed peace effort, as a milestone in
the search for peace.
...Nato to continue punitive air strikes against Bosnian Serbs
because of further mortar attacks on Sarajevo.
---
The Guardian, 11 September
SERBS HIT WITH CRUISE MISSILES
...The Bosnian Serb army said many people had been killed and wounded
in the "massive" attacks.
...Nato has consistently targeted the Serbs' integrated air
defence system.
DEFIANT MLADIC STICKS TO HIS GUNS
Gen Mladic, ruthless and wily, in a move clearly aimed at sowing
dissent within Nato ranks over the merits of maintaining the air
campaign, promised to meet other demands. he offered to open relief
routes into the Bosnian capital, pledged not to fire on Sarajevo
unless provoked, and called for truce talks.
...Yesterday Nato planes bombed Bosnian Serb positions outside Tuzla
for about 45 minutes, apparently in retaliation for Serb shelling of
the UN-occupied Tuzla airporet. The shelling followed a Bosnian
offensive.
---
The (London) Times, 12 September
RUSSIAN FURY OVER NATO'S CRUISE ATTACK
...Nato insisted that it had justified in using 13 Tomahawk missles...
...More airstrikes were launched yesterday and America prepared to send
six F117 Stealth bombers, which can evade radar, to Italy for use in
Bosnia.
Bosnian government forces meanwhile seized the oppportunity to launch
several offensives in central Bosnia...
Mr. Kozyrev [Russian]: "There is an impression that Nato under the
disguise of statements about its commitment to a political solution,
is in fact turning the long-suffering land of Bosnia into a testing
site for imposing it 'new role' in European and internatinal
affairs"...
Mr Claes [Nato Secretary-General] denied that Sunday's attack had
been an escalation of the air campaign. [!]
IMPROVED TOMAHAWK MAKES ITS BALKAN DEBUT (pictures, diagrams)
The Tomahawk cruise missle, whose destructive pedigree was witnessed
so publicly during the Gulf War in 1991 and against Iraq's
intelligence headquarters in June 1993, has now made its debut in
Bosnia-Herzegovina...
---
The European, 13 September
US DRIVES FOR PEACE AS NATO WARPLANES STRIKE
...The allies are hitting storage and ammunition depots, repair
facilites, and communiations and control centres but avoiding
Bosnian Serb guns to give the Serbs the chance to withdraw them.
... Some Serb-held parts, notably Grbavica, are just 300 meteres from
the city's heart. A pullout would leave Serbs defenceless.
MLadic has insisted that he cannot withdraw weapons without UN
guarantees that Serb areas will not be attacked by Bosnian
government forces...
---
Irish Times, 13 September
RUSSIA OBJECTS TO CONTINUING NATO ATTACKS
...Nato said the strikes would be stepped up. "The target list
has been expanded," said Group Capt Trevor Murray, head of air
operations for Nato's southern command in Naples, Itlay. He said
Nato would continue its raids in a "graduated" way until Bosnian
Serbs complied with UN demands to pull back their siege guns.
...Russia was urgently investigating a reported secret memorandum
agreed last month between the United Nations and Nato, which laid
the basis for the current bombing campaign.
"It causes us great regret and concern that this memorandum was
not presented or discussed with the Russian side," he said.
...In Croatia, state television reported that Bosnian Croats had
captured large swatches of land in western bosnia, including the
town of Sipovo and strategic mountain tops en route to the
Serb-held town of Jajce.
@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@
Share: