@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@ Date: Sat, 12 Apr 1997 Sender: Richard Clark <•••@••.•••> Subject: Re: cj#655> China & KulturKampf: some predictions Mr. Moore, American corporations have far too much invested in China to allow our government, which they control, to go to war with China. Boeing has billions invested in China. Seagate, the company I work for, has a huge multi-billion dollar facility in China that produces 100 million disk drives each year. All kinds of American companies are producing things like Computerized Numerical Controller (CNC) machinery etc. etc. etc. It doesn't seem to me you've taken this into account. Therefore I believe your analysis is deeply flawed. Richard Clark @@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@ Dear Richard, You raise a valid point, deserving thoughtful response. I do believe I've taken the issue into account in the analysis, but only in passing. "Hi-Tech Warfare with China?" includes, for example: Teddy Roosevelt said "Walk softly, and carry a big stick". The more profitable version, as carried out in the inter-war years and apparently underway again with China, is: "Profit through engagement, then deliver a just-in-time death blow". Allow me to respond more adquately: There was extensive Western investment in pre-war Japan and Germany (and Iraq for that matter), and much profit was extracted - enough to marginalize eventual losses. Many prominent business leaders, partly as a consequence of their investments, opposed FDR's efforts to drum up anti-axis sentiment - but that didn't change the overall strategic situation nor the ultimate outcome. In some cases the investors were left holding the bag - compelled to write off their losses - as their involuntary contribution to the war effort. But then there were cases like Grumman - who apparently operated an aircraft plant during the war in and for Nazi Germany - and then collected damages from the US government to cover the loss of the plant from allied bombing! We might wonder, as well, how much of Iraqi war reparation payments will go to Texaco et al who lost facilities on the ground in Desert Storm? Even though Boeing, Seagate, etc. are genuinely investing in Chinese operations, under the good-faith assumption that the situtation will remain stable, we cannot conclude thereby that strategic-interest planners have ruled out the eventual possible necessity for violent adjustment of China's root national attitudes. The cited precedents are too similar to readily discount. Short-term interests must sometimes be traded against long-term ones. Unfortunately, it seems difficult to find appropriate terminology to discuss the power relationships involved. I usually try to say "elite corporate" or "elite corporatist" when I talk about the ultimate power/wealth brokers and their global-level designs, to distinguish that from "corporate" interests in the short-term-profitability sense. But I realize this makes for a jargony style - what to do? I hope you will find the analysis somewhat less flawed after this clarification. Yours, rkm @@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@ Date: Mon, 7 Apr 1997 From: Charles Bell <•••@••.•••> To: "Richard K. Moore" <•••@••.•••> Subject: Re: cj#653> Hi-Tech Warfare with China? Very interesting article. I think you have grasped the outlines of the debate rather well. (The real debate, I mean -- the one among elements of the elite -- not the one held for public consumption around such `phoney issues' as human rights (so characterized by Richard Cheney)). The Economist article's reference to Sam Huntington (not Huntingdon, by the way) drew my attention. I have mentioned Sam to you before, though you may not recall the occasion. He was a protege of William Yandell Elliot at Harvard, where he took his doctorate and became friends with another doctoral candidate named Warren Manshel (whom I mentioned to you at the same time). (McGeorge Bundy was a lecturer and Henry Kissinger was a grad student at this time, but I don't think Warren or Sam was especially close to either of them.) Sam stayed on at Harvard, and has remained there most of his life except for stints at Columbia (where he came to know Zbigniew Brzezinski) and in Lyndon Johnson's Defense department (where he was a major architect of the Vietnam `pacification' program). He became a senior staff member of the Trilateral Commission, and was the U.S. rapporteur for the commission's 1976 book, `The Crisis of Democracy'. (The book was tripartite: Sam outlined the `crisis' in the U.S. while a Frenchman and a Japanese described the situation in their parts of the world.) Sam asserted that the problem with democracy in the U.S. was that there was too much of it; people were getting unruly and making it difficult for the government to govern; the press was largely responsible for this unrest and had better pipe down or measures might have to be taken. (I am not exaggerating; this is what he said. Look it up.) Meanwhile Sam's friend Warren left Harvard to take a job as an analyst with the CIA. After a few years he `quit' and did a stint in Europe (where he had been born and educated) as a correspondent for the Christian Science Monitor. Then he returned to the U.S., bought a partnership in a small Wall Street brokerage (Coleman & Co.) and -- with no known background or training in investment or finance -- soon became rich enough to realize his `lifelong ambition'. He founded a magazine. It was called The Public Interest. This magazine, first under Warren's editorship, later under Irving Kristol's (but with Warren still the publisher) became the intellectual spearhead of the neoliberalism/neoconservatism that subsequently swept the nation and a large part of the world. I consider Warren Manshel to be the most influential person I have ever met. And I have met, among others, Jimmy Carter. Meanwhile, Warren and Sam got into a friendly debate about the Vietnam War. Sam was for it, Warren against it (or so he says). They decided to continue their discussion in public -- or at least in the arena of the only `public' that really matters -- so they founded another magazine, of which they became joint editors (Warren, the moneyman, being publisher again). The magazine was called `Foreign Policy.' The best characterization of this publication I have heard was given by Richard Barnet, founder of the Institute of Policy Studies and co-author of `Global Dreams'. Barnet said: "`Foreign Affairs' is the organ of the old tired warmongers. `Foreign Policy' is the organ of the fresh, vigorous warmongers." Of course that was a while back, and Sam's generation is getting along in years now. Both magazines have been passed on to other hands. But while Warren has faded even further into the obscurity he clearly relishes (I wonder what he is up to now?), Sam is out there discovering mighty clashes of cultures in which the _next_ generation of warmongers can find the moral equivalent of the self-destructed bugaboos of yesteryear. Plus ca change... But, just in the interest of filling in the blanks of our recent history, don't you wonder where the money for those so-important magazines _really_ came from? I have been wondering for many years. - Charles - @@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@ Dear Charles, Thanks for the interesting story - very good background material and intriguingly spun. It would appear from your report that the careers of Warren Manshel and Sam Huntington have been largely devoted to generating propaganda - targetted at Western decision and policy makers - propaganda which advances what I would identify as elite corporate interests. The scope of their opinion-creating work includes both major strategic opinion arenas: propagation of the pro-transnational neoliberal world-view mythology, and the establishment, as needed tactically, of opinion-climates supportive of elite-desired geopolitical interventions. The effectiveness and timeliness of their various projects seems to be clearly established - we would do well, it seems, to note carefully what these guys are currently saying. You provide good reason to take seriously Huntington's KulturKamph myth, and not dismiss it as just one more in the fad of mega-paradigm pop theses (Sociobiology et al). You add some fiber to the limb I find myself on, with my China-warfare scenarios. I'll be interested in your response to the second piece (cj#655 - China & KulturKampf: some predictions), particularly regarding how that treats the role of Huntington's work. The question of funding is an interesting one. There are sources of funds, and there are channels for delivering them - and both are worth some examination. What we may have seen - in the enriching episode enjoyed by CIA-veteran Warren at Coleman & Co. brokerage - is a time-proven money-delivery formula in action: The brokerage deal is set up for him; he is given timely warning regarding insider-expected market-affecting transactions; he leverages big on the anticipated swings; he pockets a windfall; he puts it to productive use. As easy as a-b-c. We saw a similar story with Reagan and his Irvine land deals prior to UC Irvine beginning its site acquisition. More recently we have Gingrich, who channels his money in through foundations funded by the corporations whose interests his Congressional efforts are devoted to furthering. Perhaps modern covert funding theory favors a tighter reign - money to be doled out closer to the time services are rendered. Many schemes have been used over the years to fund the careers of those who show the ability and the inclination to further elite-favored agendas. Indeed, every politician who wasn't wealthy before his career began may - who knows - be hiding a suspicious sweetheart deal or two somewhwere in his or her closet. Not only does the funding get effectively delivered by such routine practices, but the recipients (is that everyone in public life?) become thereby vulnerable to graft exposure at some future time if they become inconvenient to those behind the scenes (Recall: the S&L scapegoat censures of the actively liberal Keating Seven). Both a carrot and a stick are being applied to the recipients - the twin reins of covert political agenda-setting. Here we view front-line action in the Betrayal Of Democracy saga. Who, then, are "those behind the scenes"? Whence can we follow the money chain? Who are the active destabilizers of democracy? In Warren's case, assuming our hypothetical scenario, we see a recipient, already involved with the CIA, being assisted by parties who are well-connected in elite financial circles: able to arrange brokerage partnerships, pass on accurate insider trading tips, and snuff any trading investigations that might fortuituously arise. Let us consider another typical nexus of neoliberal globalist rhetoric - the prestigious Heritage Foundation. Here we see a large-scale think-tank/ publishing-enterprise which, among other activities, pays legions of string writers to dream up reasonable-sounding pseudo-studies to support elite-favored conclusions - generating pieces which can then be propagated in various targetted media venues. According to a recent report I read, much of the start-up funding for Heritage was dontated directly by wealthy right-wingers, including the Coors family and the founder of Amway. Whether a money chain is direct - or whether it passes through a brokerage house, a land agent, a fundamentalist cult, a foundation, or a think-tank - all the significant chains seem to lead back to the same ultimate sources: the corporatist elite themselves, the corporate coffers they control, and the captive institutions (CIA, FBI, et al) who covertly wield public resources on behalf of elite interests. --- Let me leave you with an unrhymed ditty: Aphorisms for a modern age Corrupt politicians and journalists are the bit players; corrupt government and media provide the stage; the corporate elite produces the show. Downsizing of government attacks the wrong part of the problem; deregulation is just another name for elite lawlessness; neoliberalism is a trojan horse that carries the elite enemy within. Cynicism is the lever that recruits us to applaud weaker government; credulity is the flaw leading us to perceive reality in "their" terms; mis-perceived impotence is the prison that hold us back from action. Democratic institutions -civilization's very flower- took millenia to evolve; they can become extinct in a generation - victim of neoliberal cataclysm; where then would we seek a port in the storm - or even a life jacket? Reclaiming democracy is the arduous but only path to societal regeneration; premature globalism and devolution both serve elite designs; let us return to our constitutional roots, to our creative national spirits. We are free peoples only if we exercise our vigilance and act accordingly; we can only act effectvely if we act together and with correct understanding; we can only act together if we own our inherent power, focus, and organize. rkm Regards @@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@ ~=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=~=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=~--~=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=~=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=~ Posted by Richard K. Moore - •••@••.••• - PO Box 26 Wexford, Ireland Cyberlib: ftp://ftp.iol.ie/users/rkmoore/cyberlib | (USA Citizen) * Non-commercial republication encouraged - Please include this sig * * Please Cc: •••@••.••• directly on forwards & replies * ~=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=~=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=~--~=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=~=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=~
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