ppi.034-India & China: Lining up to start Uncle Sam’s war?

1998-05-29

Richard Moore

                   PEOPLES PRESS INTERNATIONAL (PPI)
                               - - -
    a public service of CADRE (Citizens for a Democratic Renaissance)
                       http://cyberjournal.org
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       ppi.034-India & China: lining up to start Uncle Sam's war?
                             rkm essay
                 including excerpts from postings of
                   Informed Voter Project (I-VOTE)

                               - - -
                Republication permission granted for
                 non-commercial and small-press use
    with all sig & header info forwarded appropriately, please.


------------------------------------------------------------------------

Dear Friends,

In ppi.010, in my essay "Elites & the science of history", I concluded with:

  > thing[s] you really need to know about the elite [are] that
  >   (1) they have power,
  >   (2) they make plans,
  >   (3) they are [pursuing] a program.
  >
  > The further details/data are more readily and reliably obtained
  > from the daily news than from covert revelations.

To this •••@••.••• (I N Cognito) responded, in part:

  > So, what are you waiting for, science boy, publish some predictions.

Mr. Incognito may be endeavoring to `call my bluff' but long-time readers
would recogize that I _love his kind of challenge.  I will return to this
in another posting with an outline of predictions, but first I'd like to
look in more depth at a particular prediction, made some time ago, about
the inevitability of a major confrontation between Çhina and the US.  (You
might want to look at the article, "China vs Globalization, the Final War
and the Dark Millenium", found on
"http://www.iol.ie/~rkmoore/cyberjournal", under the name
"China_vs_Globalism.txt").

One problem with claiming this particular `prediction' is that many others
have made a similar prediction, in fact I first adopted the thesis after
reading a "Foreign Affairs" issue which focused on the topic.  With justice
or not, you decide, I count among my `predictions' not only ones that I
figure out for myself, but also ones that I select (and refine!) from
others: the point is the _accuracy of the final list and the validity of
the _analysis used to justify the predictions.

The basic fact is that China is the only nation remaining in the world,
other than the US, which at the same time:
    a) is a major nation, what in the old days was called a `great power'
    b) has a nation-centered economic-development policy
    c) has a considerable military, an independent foreign policy, and
       nuclear weapons
    d) has designs on a national `sphere of influence' (ie, Asia)

China has made it very clear that it considers itself to have an inherent
right to Asian hegemony, and that the US Navy cannot forever treat Chinese
waters as its own lake.  US policy planners, on the other hand, proclaim,
with seemingly the same finality as the Monroe Doctrine:
    "China's goal of achieving paramount status in Asia  conflicts
    with an established American objective:  preventing any single
    country from gaining an  overwhelming power in Asia.  The United
    States,  after all, has been in major wars in Asia three times
    in the past half-century, always to prevent a single power from
    gaining ascendency."
              - Richard Bernstein and Ross H. Munro,
                "The Coming Conflict with America",
                Foreign Affairs (March/April 1997)

Here we see a congruence between the requirements of globalization and the
requirements of classical (pre-1945) US imperialism.  US Foreign-policy
circles still use the terminology of the classical age, long after US
economic planners have abandoned that perspective in favor of neoliberal
globalism.  This schism in US national thinking, strangely enough, seems to
go universally unnoticed.

China is a threat to the smooth operation of globalization. Globalization
is the unifying of all markets globally, with order to be maintained by a
single global policing force, currently being fashioned out of US and NATO
elite forces.

China threatens both the vision of unified markets and the vision of a
unified global policing force.  If globalization is to succeed, China must
submit or be demolished, as Germany and Japan learned c. 1945, and the USSR
learned c. 1990.

The digestion of China into the global regime will be the final `mopping
up' of strong nation-centered powers, other than the US, and the US forces
only _pretend to be (and to some extent _believe they are) pursuing `US
national interests' -- in fact their hidden agenda since at least 1942 has
been the creation of globalization's platform -- a non-partitioned global
marketplace -- on behalf of TNC's generally.

The US is frantically preparing for a military confrontation with China,
with its intensive program of "C4" research and development.  "C4",
"Command, Communications, Control, Countermeasures" (or something to that
effect) is an all-digital global system based on satellites, computers,
lasers, sensor planes, unmanned craft, stealth, night warfare, cruise
missiles, tactical nukes, etc, whose preliminary prototypes were tested in
Desert Storm.

With a more advanced version of C4 the US hopes to disable Chinese systems,
gain complete `control of theater', and thus demolish China while avoiding
a wider nuclear conflagration.

But of course the US will arrange this confrontation by some means that
exonerates it from aggressive intent.  It pulled the same trick in WW-2,
when its aggressive designs against Japan and the USSR were well-masked.
We all remember Uncle Sam as the `defender of democracy against fascism and
Asian imperialism', but the less-publicised historical record shows clearly
that the US systematically funded and supported nazism and supplied Japan
with all it needed to build up its imperial forces.  (Did you know a
General Motors plant operated in Germany before and during the war, and
manufactured the planes that bombed Britain?... and that General Motors
collected damages from the US government because some of its plant was
bombed by the US Air Force?)

    If we see that Germany is winning we should help Russia and if Russia
    is winning we ought to help Germany and that way let them kill as many
    as possible . . .
                                                - Harry S. Truman, 1941

If the US is true to form, it will encourage China to get into a war with
someone else, as it encouraged Iraq to invade Kuwait.  Then Uncle Sam will
mount his white horse, put on his white hat, and the world will cheer as he
rides to the rescue of whichever pawn was intentionally sacrificed to the
China strategy.

Will the pawn be India?  I can't predict this with any certainty, because
it's a tactical issue, not a strategic one.  Strategic developments _can be
predicted confidently, because they are derived from the clearly stated
goals of elite planners, but tactics depend on varying conditions, chance
opportunities, etc.

But India is a very good candidate.  It is too large for an invasion of it
to be ignored, as was that of Tibet; the world would _expect the US to `do
something'.

Below we read in the first article...
        Defence Minister George Fernandes has declared China as the
        "potential  threat  number one" with its military and naval
        involvement  beginning to "encircle" India along the border
        with Pakistan, Myanmar and Tibet.

and in the second...
        BEIJING  (AP) - Arms suppliers from around the globe touted
        their  wares  -  everything from submarine gear to military
        computers   -  Tuesday  at  an  exhibition  showcasing  the
        technology China covets for its huge but backward military.
        ...The  prospect  of peddling to the world's largest army drew
        weapons  and  support  systems suppliers from 14 countries,
        including  the  United  States,  Britain,  France, Germany,
        Israel, Italy and Sweden.

Before China can be conquered, it must first be allowed to build up a
`credible threat' and to become confident enough in its strength to fall
into the American / globalist trap by invading perhaps India, perhaps
Taiwan, or perhaps some pawn #3.

predictively yours,
rkm

------------------------------------------------------------------------
Date: Wed, 13 May 1998
From: Gene Woltz <•••@••.•••>
To: Informed Voter Project I-VOTE <•••@••.•••>
Subject: China is threat No.1, says Fernandes
Bcc: •••@••.•••

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              Informed Voter Project (I-VOTE)
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                TRAITOR IN THE WHITE HOUSE
               The Consequences Begin . . .


                 --- Start of Document ---


The Hindustan Times
NEW DELHI, May 3 (HTC)

http://www.hindustantimes.com/ht/nonfram/040598/detfro02.htm

China is threat No.1, says Fernandes

Defence Minister George Fernandes has declared China as the
"potential  threat  number one" with its military and naval
involvement  beginning to "encircle" India along the border
with Pakistan, Myanmar and Tibet.

"Any  person  who  is concerned about India's security must
agree  with that fact," averred Mr Fernandes. In support of
the  perception,  he  drew  attention  to  the  transfer of
missile  technology  and  nuclear  know-how to Islamabad by
Beijing  besides  the  nuclear  weapons stockpiled in Tibet
along the borders with India.

The  Defence  Minister  disclosed  that  over  the last six
months,  there has been a lot of elongation of military air
fields  in  Tibet,  where  the latest version of the Sukhoi
aircraft  were  going to be parked. On the eastern frontier
with  India, the Chinese have also trained and equipped the
Myanmar  Army,  whose  overall  strength  has  gone up from
1,70,000 to 4,50,000.

This  scenario  of  a  Chinese involvement along the Indian
borders from Pakistan right up to Myanmar, including Tibet,
extended  to  the Indian waters, continued Mr Fernandes. He
said  Myanmar's  territory of Coco Islands, on the northern
tip  of  Andaman  and  Nicobar,  has  been taken on loan by
Beijing  and  converted into a monitoring post (for keeping
track   of  India's  activities)  through  installation  of
"massive" electronic surveillance equipment.

"There  is  no doubt in my mind that China's fast expanding
navy,  which  will  be the biggest navy in this part of the
world,  will be getting into the Indian Ocean fairly soon,"
contended  the  Defence  Minister.  He  pointed in the same
breath  to Beijing's plans to transform Coco Islands into a
major  naval base - which would be a direct threat to India
-  and  the  construction  of harbours on Myanmar's western
coast where Chinese ships can be towed in.

"Their  (the  Chinese)  senior officials have said that the
Indian  Ocean is not India's ocean," remarked Mr Fernandes.
In   support   of   the  view  that  New  Delhi  has  often
underplayed, even ignored, the potential threat from China,
he  said:  "To underplay the situation across the Himalayas
is  not  in  the  national  interest...  I think there is a
reluctance to face the reality that China's intentions need
to  be  questioned.  This  is  where  our  country has made
mistakes  in  the  past  -  in the early fifties and in the
sixties, for which we paid the price."

In  an  interview  to 'In Focus With Karan,' to be telecast
tomorrow by Home TV, Mr Fernandes, while terming China as a
bigger  threat  to  India's  security  than  even Pakistan,
remained unconvinced about Islamabad's claims of possessing
a  (nuclear)  bomb.  The  threat  posed  by  Beijing to New
Delhi's  security  interests  also  figured  in  the  V. K.
Krishna   Menon   Memorial  lecture  the  Defence  Minister
delivered here this evening.

      ----<snip>----

------------------------------------------------------------------------
Date: Wed, 13 May 1998
From: Gene Woltz <•••@••.•••>
To: Informed Voter Project I-VOTE <•••@••.•••>
Subject: World's top weapons firms court Chinese military -- the world's largest

                 --- Start of Document ---

Associated Press
1.08 p.m. ET (1709 GMT) May 12, 1998

http://www.foxnews.com/news/wires2/0512/n_ap_0512_154.sml

World's top weapons firms court Chinese military --
the world's largest

By Elaine Kurtenbach

BEIJING  (AP) - Arms suppliers from around the globe touted
their  wares  -  everything from submarine gear to military
computers   -  Tuesday  at  an  exhibition  showcasing  the
technology China covets for its huge but backward military.

The  defense  electronics  trade fair in Beijing is China's
first to focus solely on sales of military technology.

The  prospect  of peddling to the world's largest army drew
weapons  and  support  systems suppliers from 14 countries,
including  the  United  States,  Britain,  France, Germany,
Israel, Italy and Sweden.

Even  Japan, which bans weapons exports, was represented by
one  firm:  Y-Max,  a  maker  of  hardware and software for
portable test equipment.

Deluxe  displays  of  the  latest  avionics and air traffic
control  systems set up by U.S. firms Raytheon and Lockheed
Martin  were evidence that although U.S. limits on sales of
most  military technology to China remain in place, warming
diplomatic relations have made the issue less sensitive.

China   needs   advanced   technology  to  remake  its  2.9
million-member armed forces into a modern fighting force.

Its People's Liberation Army is believed to lag a decade or
more  behind in many areas. Command and control systems and
combat training are inadequate; airborne reconnaissance and
early warning systems are lacking.

Hoping  to  leapfrog several generations of technology, the
sponsors  of  the  trade  show, the Ministry of Information
Industry and the General Equipment Headquarters of the PLA,
are  focusing  on  developing  defense-related electronics,
telecommunications,   aviation,   nuclear   power   and
shipbuilding.

The  PLA's  shopping  list  also  includes  such  basics as
long-range   bombers   and  fighters,  in-flight  refueling
capability,   airborne   early   warning   systems   and
anti-aircraft missile systems.

Many  of  the products on display at the show could be used
for  both  civilian and military purposes. But most items -
radar;  command,  control,  communications and intelligence
systems;  navigation  and  early warning systems; microwave
components;   military   computers;   test   equipment  and
simulators;  artillery  training  systems  -  clearly  were
intended for military use.

Trade  shows  are just one part of China's larger effort to
bring its fighting force up to date.

Beijing  has been cultivating closer ties between its armed
forces   and   the  militaries  of  many  other  countries,
including  the  United  States. Such exchanges have enabled
top  Chinese generals to tour U.S. defense complexes and to
observe  demonstrations of the kind of technology they want
for their own troops.

China's  purchases  of  advanced  submarines,  aircraft and
other  leading edge technology have unnerved its neighbors,
who in turn are beefing up their own militaries.

       © 1998 Associated Press. All rights reserved.

------------------------------------------------------------------------

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