Dear cj, I don't usually devote so many posts to a single subject, nor do I usually publish controversial material without commenting on it, or trying to qualify its context. I make an exception with these recent terrorist events. A geologist friend of mine was teaching class one day in San Francisco when, abruptly, an earthquake ensued. As soon as the main shocks were over, he led his class on a narrated tour of the damage, using the opportunity to make visceral the textbook descriptions of earthquake effects. It is difficult for us in the public to determine who carried out the embassy bombings, who helped them, or who knew of but ignored the preparations. It is also difficult to know why particular reprisals were selected, and what secondary objectives are being pursued and by whom. But the views of all sides are of interest, not only because it gives us more data to consider, but also because the radicalization of views and the role of propaganda are some of the aspects of a political crisis (our "earthquake") that are of interest in themselves. Responses so far have been mostly favorable to this series, and some have extended the analysis with additional observations of their own. One reader has expressed outrage that "one sided propaganda" is being posted, material without "one shred of truth". Crisis brings polarization, and polarization turns disagreement into anger. That's part of the process, and its occurence in our discussion is an opportunity to see the forces working in our own minds. Tomorrow's post will be a dialog with those readers who have sent in responses, so I encourage you to send in your comments on these postings, the bombings and reprisals, or on terrorism more generally. yours, rkm ------------------------------------------------------------------------ From: Mid-EasT RealitieS <•••@••.•••> To: <•••@••.•••> Subject: David Hirst Investigates and Finds U.S. Assertions Doubtful Mime-Version: 1.0 Date: Mon, 24 Aug 1998 09:04:33 -0400 - _______ ____ ______ / |/ / /___/ / /_ // M I D - E A S T R E A L I T I E S / /|_/ / /_/_ / / Making Sense of the Middle East /_/ /_/ /___/ /_/ www.MiddleEast.Org MILLIONS WILL SUFFER, THOUSANDS WILL DIE _______________________________________________________________ News, Information, & Analysis That Governments, Interest Groups, and the Corporate Media Don't Want You To Know. _______________________________________________________________ TO RECEIVE MER regularly Email with subject: SEND MER _______________________________________________________________ MILLIONS WILL SUFFER - THANKS USA! GEE...WHAT ABOUT BOMBING DIMONA? MER - Washington - 24 August: Millions of African children will suffer, probably at least thousands will die, as a result of the American bombing of one of the most modern and productive pharmaceutical plants in Africa. But then the Americans don't seem to care much about any of this; their policies and sanctions have literally killed off more than 5% of the Iraqi population this decade; and their depleted uranium weapons have brought a wave of cancer that will go on for a very long time to come. There is no evidence so far to confirm American claims about the factory in Khartoum. But even if there were, justifing this bombing on anything but "might makes right" grounds would be difficult. There are hundreds of such factories in the U.S. and Europe; and huge stockpiles of chemical and biological weapons. Based on American reasoning the Arabs would be fully justified to bomb Dimona -- Israel's nuclear weapons factory (built, incidentally with French and American help). What's next? More bombing of Libya and Iraq. Or maybe Iran or Syria this time? When the Americans began their ever-closer "strategic" connection with Israel; and when, also in the Reagan years, the Americans adopted Israeli slogans and policies regarding "Islamic fundamentalism" and "terrorism" and "radicalism"; experts warned we were on a slippery slope. And now the chickens are coming home to roost. OK U.N. and Arab League. What you going to do? THE "SECRET" CHEMICAL FACTORY THAT NO ONE TRIED TO HIDE By David Hirst in Khartoum The Observer - Sunday, August 23, 1998 Whatever Al Shifa Pharmaceuticals Industries Company did produce - precursors for the VX nerve gas, according to the United States, or 50 per cent of Sudan's drug requirements, according to its own staff - it was very precisely targeted indeed. The projectiles that smashed into it at about 7.30 local time on Thursday evening went unerringly to the heart of the plant, and nothing else - not even the Sweets and Sesame factory so physically close that, at first sight it looks like an integral part. Al Shifa certainly did not try to hide its existence. Signs in plenty direct you to it long before you get there. But to find it with such pinpoint accuracy from the air was no small achievement. The Khartoum North district in which it is located is an amorphous, dismal suburbia, semi-residential, semi-industrial without obvious landmarks; steeped in dust for most of the year, its largely unpaved roads and alleyways ankle-deep in the rainy season's mud. The factory's core is flattened. The roof is almost on the ground. Here and there smoke still rises from the debris; the still burning chemicals give it a mildy unpleasant odour. There is no sign amid the wreckage of anything sinister. Of course, for the layman, there probably wouldn't be anyway. But there is no sign of anyone trying to hide anything either. Access is easy. Much of Khartoum seems to have come to take a look. Women in long bright dresses, and even high heels, pick their way through the mud and jump across roadside gutters to get a closer view. Most stare in what seems to be disbelieving silence. "I still can't quite believe it's gone," said Dr Alamaddin Shibli, the factory's export manager. "I still have to knock my head into realising that when I come here I'm coming to a complete ruin." He pointed to his office on the third floor of the administrative building. "On Thursday, I had gone home earlier than I usually do." He was not the only lucky one. "If the Americans had chosen Wednesday evening, instead of Thursday, it would have been a disaster." About 300 people worked in the factory, he said, but on Wednesday evening a shift of 50 had been working on a special assignment of veterinary products. These were destined for Iraq, commissioned by the United Nations under its food-for-oil programme. "I suppose the Americans would say that one Arab producer of chemical weapons was supplying them to another - Saddam Hussein." He says the factory was one of the biggest and best of its kind in Africa. It was privately owned, and had changed hands since it went into production two years ago; the new owner was a Sudanese living in Saudi Arabia. It had been partly financed by the Eastern and Southern African Preferential Trade Association, a thoroughly respectable body. It produced the full range of antibiotics, medicines for malaria, rheumatism, tuberculosis and diabetes, you name it. Samples of its products lay around the reception area: Shifatryp, Shifamol, and in a plastic bag with the picture of an eagle on it, Shifacef proclaimed its Continued Efficiency Over the Years. Apart from the administration block, only two parts of the factory were not unrecognisably demolished. One was the water-cooling works, which Shibli called the most modern in Africa, with its equipment from Italy and the United States. The other was the laboratory - for him, the most important loss. It is very badly damaged, but amid the rubble rows of phials remained discernibly intact. The Sudanese government, which the US accuses of sponsoring international terrorism, seems to think it now has all the evidence it needs to incriminate the US. It wants a United Nations team to investigate. "This is what we will show them," Shibli said. "In those bottles are the reagents that will prove what we really produced here - and it wasn't chemical weapons." ------------------------------------------ TO RECEIVE MER regularly Email with subject: SEND MER To stop receiving MER email with subject: Stop MER ------------------------------------------ MID-EAST REALITIES is published a number of times weekly and the MERTV Program shows weekly on Cable TV. M I D - E A S T R E A L I T I E S (c) Copyright 1998 MER may be freely distributed by email unedited. For any print publication permission in writing is required. •••@••.••• / Fax: 202 362-6965 / Phone: 202 362-5266 ------------------------------------------------------------------------ From: •••@••.••• Date: Mon, 24 Aug 1998 20:59:22 -0500 (CDT) To: •••@••.••• Subject: Sudan/Egypt __________________________________ Donate your computer, not your data. Use STRATFOR's Sanitizer software. http://www.sanitizer.com/ __________________________________ Global Intelligence Update Red Alert August 25, 1998 Sudan Suggests Egyptian Complicity in Chemical Plant Attack Despite detailed U.S. claims that its attacks on suspected terrorist- related facilities in Sudan and Afghanistan were carried out solely by means of Tomahawk cruise missiles, Sudan has insisted since the day of the attack that U.S. aircraft attacked the Shifa chemical plant in Khartoum. Additionally, Sudanese officials, including the president and foreign minister, have repeatedly suggested that neighboring states may have facilitated the attack. On August 20, Sudanese Interior Minister Abdul Rahim said that "two American warplanes" had dropped bombs on the chemical plant. Another Sudanese government report immediately after the bombing said that "five air raid strikes" had taken place. The initial Sudanese reports could have been written off as confusion, but Sudanese armed forces spokesman Lieutenant General Abd al-Rahman Sirr al- Khatim told Sudan's state radio on August 22 that the U.S. attack had involved "American jet fighters," and that "the aircraft had crossed the airspace of a neighboring country." The general claimed that the aircraft had been sighted by eyewitnesses and Sudanese radar stations. Also on August 22, in a live interview on Qatar's "Al-Jazeera" television, Sudanese President Omar Hasan al-Bashir insisted that, "Since the industrial zone and this factory are located in the heart of Khartoum, many people saw the U.S. aircraft while they were bombarding the factory." He said that "these aircraft remained over the target for approximately 12 minutes. Many people saw these aircraft, including some of our air force pilots." According to al-Bashir, the pilots identified the aircraft as U.S. "fighter bombers 111 or 118." However, the U.S. no longer uses F-111 fighter bombers, and it has no fighter aircraft designated "118." Perhaps al-Bashir mislabeled the F-117 Stealth fighter (though that would not have been detectable by radar installations, as General al-Khatim had stated) or the F-18 Hornet (though al-Bashir also stated that the aircraft were of a type which could not fly from an aircraft carrier, something an F-18 certainly can do). Addressing the issue of possible complicity by a neighboring state in the attack, Al-Bashir said "We are sure that the aircraft that attacked the factory are not of the kind that can fly from an aircraft carrier, considering that there is no aircraft carrier in the Red Sea and, at the moment, there is no aircraft carrier in the region. More often, these aircraft take off from bases." He said that Sudan was "certain now that these aircraft came from the north, because they flew over the city of Berber, which is more than 300 km north of Khartoum. After completing their mission, these aircraft also left towards the north." He said that the aircraft "broke the sound barrier over Berber." On Monday, August 24, al-Bashir was more explicit about his suspicions, telling journalists that he hoped the aircraft involved in the attack "had not taken off from Egypt." However, he noted "We are not singling out any country. We don't have any information confirming which airport these planes took off from." In a further implication of Egypt, al-Bashir said the U.S. had received its intelligence on the plant from the Sudanese opposition in Cairo. Finally, in his Qatari television interview, al- Bashir said that the reaction to the attack from many Arab states, including Egypt, was "weak." Egyptian Foreign Minister Amr Moussa on Sunday denied that the attack on the Shifa plant involved aircraft. Egypt's statement on the U.S. attack was less than Sudan would have hoped for. On August 21, an official Egyptian government statement said that terrorist incidents should be addressed by the UN Security Council, and on August 22, Moussa told the Sudanese Ambassador to Egypt that "all measures against terrorism must be taken through international legitimacy and under the umbrella of the United Nations." In another move that could not have amused Khartoum, Moussa met on August 22 with Sudanese opposition National Democratic Alliance (NDA) chairman Mohammad Uthman al-Mirghani to discuss developments in Sudan. The NDA had issued a statement on August 21 essentially blaming Khartoum for bringing the strike on itself when it "opened the doors of Sudan to international extremist and terrorist groups, provided them with shelter and training, supplied them with weapons and funds, and helped them infiltrate other countries to implement criminal schemes." The NDA claimed that Khartoum had adopted a policy of state terrorism against the majority, including "the use of the internationally banned weapons against Sudanese citizens in the Nuba mountains." We are not going to speculate on the veracity of Sudanese claims of U.S. warplane strikes versus Washington's assertions that only Tomahawk missiles, fired from ships, were involved in the attack on the Shifa plant. There are both intriguing details and clear impossibilities in the Sudanese accounts. What we do note is that Sudan is implicating both Egypt and the Egyptian-hosted, U.S.-backed, Sudanese opposition in the attack, and that Egypt is doing little to challenge that accusation. Long before the U.S. attack on Sudan, the Global Intelligence Update reported on the ongoing and constantly shifting struggle between the U.S.- sponsored Sudanese rebels and Khartoum, including the roles of Sudan's neighbors. Egypt and Sudan have long been at odds over Egyptian claims that Sudan harbored and supported Islamic fundamentalist terrorists and Sudanese claims that Egypt harbored and supported Sudanese rebels. The Egyptian Jihad group, which was responsible for the assassination of Egyptian President Anwar Sadat, has been linked both to Sudan and to Osama bin-Laden. Egypt has also accused Sudan of training and arming the terrorists who attempted to assassinate Sadat's successor, Hosni Mubarak. The case could easily be made that Egypt would have supported a strike on Khartoum. Whether they were given the opportunity to do so is far from certain. Regardless of whether or not Egypt played a role in the U.S. attack, the fact that Sudan is claiming they did can only lead to a reversal of any recent improvement in relations between the two countries, and could lead to an escalation both of terrorist incidents in Egypt and rebel offensives in Sudan. ___________________________________________________ To receive free daily Global Intelligence Updates or Computer Security Alerts, sign up on the web at http://www.stratfor.com/mail/, or send your name, organization, position, mailing address, phone number, and e-mail address to •••@••.••• ___________________________________________________ STRATFOR Systems, Inc. 3301 Northland Drive, Suite 500 Austin, TX 78731-4939 Phone: 512-454-3626 Fax: 512-454-1614 Internet: http://www.stratfor.com/ Email: •••@••.••• ------------------------------------------------------------------------ a political discussion forum - •••@••.••• To subscribe, send any message to •••@••.••• A public service of Citizens for a Democratic Renaissance (mailto:•••@••.••• http://cyberjournal.org) ---------------------------------------------------------- Non-commercial reposting is hereby approved, but please include the sig up through this paragraph and retain any internal credits and copyright notices. .--------------------------------------------------------- To see the index of the cj archives, send any message to: •••@••.••• To subscribe to our activists list, send any message to: •••@••.••• Help create the Movement for a Democratic Rensaissance ---------------------------------------------- crafted in Ireland by rkm ----------------------------------- A community will evolve only when the people control their means of communication. -- Frantz Fanon
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